Australian Marxist Review No. 38 November 1997


Greenhouse gases and global warming

by Dr Hannah Middleton

The greenhouse effect is potentially the most dangerous environmental 
problem facing humankind, with consequences second only to nuclear 
war.

A debate is raging in Australia at the moment about reducing greenhouse 
gas emissions in the lead-up to the Climate Change Convention in Kyoto, 
Japan, in December this year.

The Howard Government rejects any idea of fixed targets, arguing instead 
for "differentiation", setting different targets for each country. In 
Australia's case, the government's target would allow an increase in 
greenhouse gas emissions for at least another 12 years.

The European Union, in contrast, is arguing for across the board cuts of 15 
per cent on 1990 levels by the year 2000; Japan is suggesting a five per 
cent reduction. US President Clinton has announced a conditional compromise 
package with a lower stabilisation target.

In July this year, the Australian Conservation Foundation, Greenpeace 
Australia and World Wide Fund for Nature declined an invitation to join the 
official Australian delegation to international climate change negotiations 
in Bonn.

Illustrating the strength of feeling of environmental organisations on this 
issue, Greenpeace Australia Chief Executive Officer, Ms Bronwyn 
Boekenstein, said: "The Federal Government is holding to ransom the global 
solution to climate change. We cannot countenance one of the most 
irresponsible positions Australia has ever taken on an environmental 
issue".

ACF Executive Director, Mr Jim Downey, added: "Australia's demand flies in 
the face of the principle that those who cause a pollution problem should 
take responsibility for cleaning it up" — he could have added, or for 
preventing it by appropriate means..

What is the greenhouse effect?

The greenhouse effect can be visualised as follows:

Imagine that Earth has been encircled by a giant glass sphere. The heat of 
the sun penetrates through the glass. Some of the heat is absorbed by the 
Earth, and some of it is radiated back towards space. The radiated heat 
reaches the glass sphere and is prevented from dispersing any further.

The earth is surrounded by a blanket of gases. This blanket traps energy in 
the atmosphere, much the same way as glass traps heat inside a greenhouse. 
This results in an accumulation of energy, and the overall warming of the 
atmosphere.

The greenhouse effect is caused by gases in the atmosphere which have the 
ability to absorb the sun's energy that is usually radiated back into space 
from Earth.

Energy from the sun reaches the earth as short-wave radiation; some is 
absorbed and some is radiated back as long-wave radiation.

The greenhouse gases allow short-wave radiation to pass through to Earth 
but absorb the long-wave radiation which should be reflected back to space. 
These gases include naturally occurring gases — primarily water vapour, 
carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxides — as well as industrial chemicals 
such as chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs).

The problem is that human activities have increased the atmospheric 
concentration of these gases well beyond their natural levels, and have 
introduced new greenhouse gases, such as CFCs. This in turn is throwing the 
natural climatic systems off balance.

One of the major greenhouse gases from human sources is carbon dioxide 
(CO2). While CO2 is naturally occurring, its 
concentration in the atmosphere is rapidly increasing because of the 
burning of the fossil fuels — oil, coal and gas — and the cutting and 
burning of the world's forests on a massive scale.

While nature produces about 30 times more CO2 than human 
activity, the carbon emitted by nature is part of a finely balanced cycle. 
The emissions caused by human activity are over and above the natural 
balance, and consequently result in a net increase in the concentrations of 
atmospheric CO2.

Since the industrial revolution about 850 billion tonnes of CO2 
have been emitted due to combustion of fossil fuels, oil, coal and natural 
gas. An additional 370 billion tonnes have been added through changes in 
land use and from deforestation.

The carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere has increased by 25 per cent 
since the industrial revolution — from 275 parts per million (ppm) in the 
late 1700s to 315 ppm in 1960, and to 350 ppm in 1988. Thus half of this 
rise has occurred in the past 20 to 30 years alone.

More than five billion tons of carbon derived from fossil fuels are 
deposited in the atmosphere each year. To this we must add about one to two 
billion tons that would otherwise have been absorbed by the forests 
destroyed by deforestation.

Human activity is not only producing more CO2, but is also 
severely damaging the ability of the earth to absorb carbon — via its 
carbon sinks — the forests and oceanic plankton. Growing forests 
absorb CO2 and breathe out oxygen.

Massive worldwide forest destruction results in much fewer trees to soak up 
CO2, and releases the stored CO2 from the trees into 
the atmosphere.

The rate of loss of forests is staggering. In the Amazonian forests, some 
single years have registered between seven and ten million hectares of 
forest destroyed.

Similarly, the destruction of the ozone layer by human-made chemicals, such 
as CFCs, is allowing increased levels of harmful ultra-violet radiation to 
reach the surface of the earth.

Increased levels of ultra-violet radiation could reduce the density of 
plankton in the oceans. Since plankton are the primary carbon sink of the 
planet, reduction in their density could result in less CO2 
being absorbed from the atmosphere.

What are the consequences?

Global warming and climate change result from the greenhouse effect. Their 
consequences may well include:

* The destruction of entire ecosystems;

* Increased frequency and intensity of storms, hurricanes, floods, droughts 
and forest fires;

* Melting glaciers, polar ice and permafrost;

* Rising sea levels resulting in the permanent flooding of vast areas of 
heavily populated lands and the creation of hundreds of millions of 
environmental refugees;

* The spread of tropical diseases due to insect proliferation into areas 
where temperatures are increasing.

Do scientists agree?

When Prime Minister Howard was in Rarotonga (Cook Islands) in September 
this year for the South Pacific Forum, he said in an interview:

"... There is nonetheless quite a bit of debate about the science, so far 
as greenhouse effects are concerned, and it's not all one way. It is not 
all — how should one put it — the apocalyptic view of the world and of 
life."

More recently, mining magnate Hugh Morgan claimed that scientific warnings 
should not be taken too seriously because scientists keep revising their 
predictions downwards. He also argued strongly that there is no need to do 
anything immediately about the problem.

Prime Minister Howard, the Coalition Government and others may suggest that 
the scientific debate is far from over, but actually there is a broad 
agreement on this issue among scientists and experts, represented by the 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change..

In 1988, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World 
Meteorological Organisation (WMO) established the Intergovernmental Panel 
on Climate Change (IPCC), comprising over 300 of the world's leading 
experts, to investigate climate change.

In most scientific circles the issue is no longer whether or not climate 
change is a potentially serious problem, but rather, how the problem will 
develop, what its effects will be, how these can be best detected, and what 
measures can be taken to reduce the damage.

Worrying indicators

There are many worrying indicators that something serious is happening. For 
example:

* The nine hottest years on record have all occurred since 1980, despite 
the 2-3 year cooling effect of the Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption in 
1991. 1994 was the third or fourth hottest year on record.

* Since the mid-19th Century, global temperatures have increased by around 
0.5o C. Temperatures have increased in all seasons in the 
Southern Hemisphere, and in spring, winter and autumn in the Northern 
Hemisphere.

* The European summer of 1994 brought temperatures up to 6o C 
above average, which induced massive fires in Southern Europe, chronic air 
pollution problems across the continent, and severe water shortages in many 
cities.

* Scientists at the Max-Planck Institute For Meteorology in Hamburg 
concluded from an examination of recent temperature records that they are 
90 to 97.5 per cent certain that the observed warming of the last 20-30 
years is not due to natural variability.

* A study of global mean temperatures over 1000 years prompted Princeton 
University researchers to state recently, "...these results suggest that 
the observed trend is not a natural feature of the interaction between the 
atmosphere and oceans. Instead, it may have been induced by a sustained 
change in the thermal forcing, such as that resulting from changes in 
atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and aerosol loading."

* According to scientists, the retreat of glaciers and the warming of the 
tundra permafrost is clear evidence of climatic change. Currently, there is 
a pronounced loss of ice mass and mountain glacier retreat occurring all 
over the world.

* Alpine plants are migrating upwards in the Austrian and Swiss Alps in 
response to warming temperatures, migratory birds are confused, trees and 
small animals are migrating northward in Canada, marine organisms are 
migrating northward in California, all in response to increasing air or sea 
temperatures.

* In May 1994, the British Antarctic Survey reported the fastest sustained 
atmospheric warming on the Antarctic Peninsula since reliable worldwide 
temperature observations began 130 years ago. A startling 2.5 C warming in 
Antarctica has been reported since 1940. Linked with that warming has been 
the disintegration of Antarctic ice-sheets; the recent break-up of a giant 
iceberg (78km long and 37km wide, the size of Cyprus); the decline of 
penguin populations; and the blooming of plants.

* The medical journal Lancet reported in January 1994 that increased 
temperatures in Pakistan since 1978 have extended the period suitable for 
the development of the malarial parasite. Paul Epstein, of the Harvard 
School of Public Health, says that mosquitoes which transmit yellow and 
dengue fever were formerly restricted to less than 1000 metres in altitude 
by temperature, but are now reported at 2,200 metres in India and Colombia.

* In January of 1995, Europe was devastated by yet another "hundred year" 
flood, its second in 15 months. The floods caused the evacuation of 250,000 
people in Holland, and cost billions of US dollars in damages.

* Currently PNG is suffering its worst drought on record with latest 
estimates that at least half a million people are at risk through lack of 
food and/or water; Indonesia is suffering from widespread forest fires.

Rising temperatures

Reliable estimates at the moment seem to indicate that world average 
temperatures will rise by one or two degrees by 2050, by between 1.5 and 
4.5 degrees by 2100 — but by the year 2300 by 10 to 18 degrees centigrade. 
This will have catastrophic social, economic and ecological implications.

Small fluctuations in average world temperatures cause very major climatic 
effects. To put the figures in context: a rise of four degrees in mean 
temperatures would create conditions on earth warmer than for 40 million 
years.

The global temperature increase since the last ice age (10,000 years ago) 
has been about 5o C.

Temperatures in the south Pacific have already risen by 0.4 to 0.8 degrees 
between 1951 and 1993. In Australia, temperatures have risen since the turn 
of the century by 0.1 to 1.0 degree and are still rising.

The IPCC warns that their studies show a sharp drop in the snow cover of 
many mountain ranges, a reduction of glaciers and sea ice, and a rise in 
Pacific Ocean levels of about two millimeters every year.

Global warming itself is releasing even greater quantities of carbon 
dioxide and methane, another greenhouse gas, from thawing permafrost (a 
layer of previously permanently frozen soil), thus accelerating atmospheric 
re-heating.

Flooding

Because of thermal expansion of the water and melting of continental 
glaciers, sea levels would rise, possibly as much as two feet (0.6 metres), 
by the end of next century.

* The effect of drowning coastlines could lead to hundreds of millions of 
climate refugees. Where will these refugees go? How will they be cared for?

* Island chains such as the Maldives will disappear from the map, together 
with whole Pacific island states such as Kiribas.

* Over 70 million people in China are vulnerable to sea-level rise, 
including major cities such as Shanghai.

* In Bangladesh 13 million people could be displaced and at least 17 per 
cent of the land will be lost.

* In America, 9,000 square miles of Florida, Louisiana and other coastal 
areas will be flooded.

* Between 12 and 15 per cent of Egypt's agricultural land could be 
inundated.

The Prime Minister of Tuvalu, speaking at the World Climate Conference in 
November 1990, said:

"The best-guess forecast of the IPCC for sea level rise is a global average 
of 3-10 millimetres per year. As more than 70 per cent of the world's 
population live on coastal plains, the potential for massive personal, 
economic and physical dislocation becomes clear — even if sea levels rise 
only marginally.

"Mangroves (which act as crucial nursery, feeding and spawning grounds for 
coastal fisheries) corals (which protect coastal areas from wind and wave 
erosion) and coastlines will be all threatened by even small rises in sea 
levels.

"And while they have done the least to cause climate change, Pacific, 
Caribbean and Indian Ocean island nations are the most likely to suffer."

The Prime Minister then gave some indicators of rising seas:

In the United Kingdom in 1990, a secret government report revealed that 
parts of the UK will have to be abandoned in the event of sea level rises. 
The report described the situation as a "tidal time bomb". In 1992 the 
government was advised to begin a "managed retreat" from the coastline 
rather than spend millions on sea walls. The British Government concedes 
that huge areas of farmland in eastern England will have to be abandoned to 
the sea.

In Thailand in 1992, a UNEP report suggested that thousands of hectares of 
productive agricultural land in Thailand will be threatened by the sea 
level rise projected by the IPCC.

In Mozambique in 1993, the sea encroached onto roads and homes in Beira, 
Mozambique's second largest city. The city centre, currently two kilometres 
from the coast, is already showing signs of erosion. Beira is one of the 
ten cities in the world most threatened by sea level rise.

Changing weather patterns

Rising temperatures could lead to changes in regional wind systems which 
would influence global rainfall distribution and lead to the redistribution 
and frequency of floods, droughts and forest fires. Windstorms and 
hurricanes could become more frequent and more intense.

The impact on some of the basic eco-systems — such as food production and 
water supply — which support human life, as a result of warming and 
extreme weather events such as storms, droughts and floods, will be drastic 
and disastrous.

Food and water

Climatological studies at Oxford University indicate that crop production 
in under-developed countries — already marginally sufficient for needs — 
could fall by 2060 by 9 to 11 per cent. Prices of food, especially grain, 
could rise as much as 145 per cent, increasing the inequalities of 
distribution and putting more than 350 million additional people at risk of 
hunger towards the end of next century.

Entire regions of Africa and Asia will face desertification, and many of 
Europe and North America's traditional crops will fail. 

Water supplies would become disrupted in some regions, particularly in 
already vulnerable, arid areas.

A severe disruption of the world's food supplies through floods, droughts, 
crop failures and diseases brought about by climate change would trigger 
famines, wars and civil disorder in many countries.

Most human societies — especially subsistence agricultural societies — 
have evolved over many centuries by adapting to their present climatic 
conditions. Their agriculture, technologies, economies and culture are 
based on familiar circumstances. These societies are likely to find climate 
change, on the scale and speed predicted for the coming decades, to be very 
traumatic.

Many natural ecosystems will not be able to adjust fast enough to a rapidly 
warming world. This could lead to sharp increases in the already alarming 
rate of species extinction on the planet.

Climate change would create favorable conditions for growth in insect 
populations. This would likely have a negative effect on agriculture and 
human health.

Health

Malaria. A net increase in infectious diseases, such as malaria, is 
one of the most confidently predicted outcomes of climate change.

There have been documented geographic shifts in a number of mosquito borne 
infections — malaria and dengue fever. They're extending their range, 
moving to higher altitudes in a number of places around the world. Perhaps 
by the middle of the next century 60 per cent of the world's population 
might be exposed to the risk of malaria, rather than 45 per cent today, 
with 50 million or more cases of malaria a year.

Mosquitoes which transmit yellow and dengue fevers were formerly restricted 
to a range of less than 1,000 metres in altitude by temperature, but are 
now reported at 2,200 meters in India and Colombia.

In Rwanda, significant temperature increases and record rainfalls between 
1961 and 1990 correspond with an increased incidence and geographic spread 
of malaria.

In northwest Pakistan, a regional temperature increase of 0.5 degrees C has 
contributed to the transmission of malaria. Annual cases have risen from a 
few hundred in 1980 to 25,000 in 1990.

Migration. Climate-induced migration of millions of people would 
likely overwhelm and/or escape existing public health systems. This would 
facilitate the spread of malaria and other infectious diseases into the 
developed world.

Toxic algal bloom. Another group of effects on global climate change 
may be seen in aquatic eco-systems, such as, for example, the production of 
algal bio-toxins, some of which are climate sensitive. The issue of algal 
bloom, which we are all too familiar with in this country, does present us 
with some very real dangers, quite apart from its direct toxic effects. It 
can be one of the ways in which cholera and similar diseases are being 
spread around the world.

Last year's scorching summer temperatures in India and related heavy 
monsoons provided breeding sites for pneumonic plague, dengue fever and 
malaria, which killed as many as 4,000 Indians.

Heat stress. We can expect more deaths from heat stress. The high 
temperatures in India in 1996 led to a surge in heat mortality.

In the United States, in 1995 there was a very severe heatwave and in five 
days in Chicago more than 700 people died from the excess heat.

Urbanisation

One of the great problems next century is that for the first time in human 
history, more than 50 per cent of the world's population will be urbanised 
in mega-cities, in impoverished urban areas.

This will bring an increase in the rate of CO2 accumulation in 
the atmosphere and greater climate change. With increased temperatures 
photo chemical smog reactions are speeded up, and so there will be a great 
deal more air pollution on the ground with added numbers of automobiles in 
cities.

What is happening is that cities are being converted into vast 
concentrations of carbon dioxide production that —along with other 
chemicals — aggravate the warming effect.

The debate in Australia

In an earlier report to the Communist Party of Australia, Central Committee 
member Erna Bennett noted:

"The environmental crisis is created by a ruling class and by its 
rapacious exploitation of earth's common resources for its private 
ends.

"Ignoring present warnings, it continues to aggravate the crisis by a 
callous and reckless disregard for the predictable consequences of its 
activities.

"Its power to act in this way is defended by the policies of governments 
which facilitate the interests of the ruling class, even to the extent of 
concealing the gravity of the global crisis from electors to whom they are 
responsible and answerable.

"This is frequently done behind declarations that environmental 
protection measures will not be allowed to adversely affect the economic 
interests of the country — meaning, of course, the economic interests of 
the ruling class...."

Just this approach is reflected in the statement in Parliament in September 
this year by the Federal Minister for the Environment, Senator Hill:

"It is foolish to believe that we can continue to grow the economy and 
provide jobs and job security for Australians without there being a 
resultant effect on energy-related emissions.

"The adoption of a uniform reduction target at the upcoming Kyoto 
conference would have a devastating impact on Australian industry and its 
ability to create jobs."

"Australia's electricity generation is carbon dioxide intensive as, unlike 
many other developed countries, we use no nuclear power generation.

"A ready supply of fossil fuels gives us a competitive advantage in energy-
intensive industries such as minerals processing, iron and steel, non-
ferrous metals, chemicals, pulp and paper. These industries provide tens of 
thousands of jobs and billions of export dollars."

The Federal Government's claim that uniform targets for the reduction of 
greenhouse gas emissions will unfairly damage Australia economically and 
destroy thousands of jobs was put by Senator Heffernan when he said in 
Parliament:

"In 1990, 80 per cent of Australia's production of energy and emission 
intensive goods — petroleum products, basic metals, minerals and 
resources, agriculture and food products, meat and dairy products, and 
chemicals — were exported. Legally binding targets for the reduction of 
greenhouse gas emissions would unfairly penalise such domestic industries. 

"While we seek differential targets, we are taking responsibility in the 
international arena for reduction in greenhouse gas emissions through 
exporting our technological advances and through the exporting of 
environmentally friendly energy and energy technology while bringing down 
neighbouring countries' emission levels, which, ironically, increase our 
own levels at the same time."

What's wrong with the government's position?

There are a number of points to make about the government's position:

1.   The crisis is catastrophic and very near. Delay is not 
acceptable;,nor are selfish sectional (usually class) arguments.

2.   The suggestion that Australia should not have to reduce 
emissions because we use a lot of energy is like saying Australia should be 
rewarded for being recklessly extravagent.

3.   Emission levels in Australia have not stabilised. They have, in 
fact, grown steadily and strongly.

4.   The government's major greenhouse strategy, a voluntary 
agreement with industry, is not to reduce greenhouse gas but to reduce the 
increase of greenhouse gas. It will not reduce greenhouse gas. It does not 
talk about anything domestically. It does not talk about rural industries. 
It does not talk about the level of land clearance. The one voluntary 
agreement is actually an agreement to increase greenhouse emissions.

5.   Claims that uniform emission standards will damage the 
Australian economy ignore the costs to our economy of global warming — 
climate change associated with El Nino patterns will affect our fisheries 
and our forests; droughts and floods may devastate our agriculture; more 
Australians may contract cholera and other diseases, etc., etc.

6.   Proposals to reduce energy use without penalising amenity — 
things like insulation standards on houses — have been ignored. The 
government has done nothing about building codes.

7.   If the government is so concerned about Australian jobs, what 
about the jobs they have got rid of, starting with the public sector. 
Industries the government mentions, such as steel, are shedding jobs for 
economic profit-making reasons.

8.   The Federal Government has cut funding for research into 
renewable energy.

9.   If the government really wants to cut greenhouse gas emissions, 
it would increase funding for research into solar and wind energy and 
things like ethanol — renewable energy sources which could also provide 
thousands of new jobs.

10.  We have a lot of coal, but we also have a lot of sun. 
Australia, the "sun drenched country", is perhaps more supplied with solar 
energy than most others in the world. However, the Howard Government is 
doing nothing in the simple area of making solar hot water services 
mandatory.

11.  If the energy intensive industries the government talks about 
so much are really so good, why don't they switch from coal to renewable 
energy sources? Part of the reason is that the government is subsidising 
fossil fuels for them. From the diesel fuel rebate on, switching is not 
economic for them because of government subsidies.

What is to be done?

It is imperative that emissions of greenhouse gases be reduced. We 
have no choice! Industrial practices and means of transportation 
which are less dependent on fossil fuels must be developed. Ultimately, the 
world must learn to manage completely without fossil fuels. Coupled with 
this must be development of mandatory stringent pollution control 
technologies and an end to deforestation.

Since the problem is global, the solutions must be international. The 
international community took a first step in 1992 when the Framework 
Convention on Climate Change was signed by 167 countries in Rio. The 
convention morally committed industrialised countries to stabilising their 
emissions of CO2 by the year 2000 at 1990 levels.

However, it is nonsense to speak of limiting gas emissions to 1990 levels. 
At 1980, even at 1970 levels, atmospheric damage was already far advanced. 
Choosing 1990 as a benchmark year is a sop to corporate interests, and 
cannot be defended on any scientifically documented interpretation of 
present dangers.

What we need is not a halt to increases in pollution levels but a clear 
and unequivocal reversal of present trends. The minimum goal must be a 20 
per cent reduction in CO2 emissions by 2005, based on 1990 
levels.

The industrialised countries have the lion's share of the responsibility 
for creating the problem and for finding the solutions. Each has developed 
its industrial base and, consequently, its higher standards of living, 
through the use of vast amounts of fossil fuels. This has resulted in high 
concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere.

Furthermore, their per capita emissions of CO2 continue to be 
tens of times larger than that of all of the developing countries.

For example, the United States, the largest single emitter, annually pumps 
into the atmosphere approximately 20 tonnes of CO2 per person. 
With less than 5 per cent of the world's population, the United States is 
responsible for 25 per cent of global CO2 emissions.

In comparison, the entire developing world, consisting of more than 100 
countries and representing almost 80 per cent of the world's population, is 
responsible for approximately the same amount of CO2 emissions.

Rio submission

The International Society for the Systems Sciences presented the following 
submission to the 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and 
Development (UNCED or the Rio Earth Summit):

WHEREAS climate stabilisation is becoming a central driving force 
determining the nature of production of good and services.

THEREFORE this body is presenting the following expression regarding the 
sequence of necessary conditions and actions:

1.  The continuation of food crops in the temperate zones of this 
earth depends primarily on reducing the atmospheric carbon dioxide from 
over 355 parts per million (ppm) back to the approximate level of 280 ppm 
in attempting to stabilise climate.

2. Considering the rate of increase in climate disturbance and the 
increasing destruction from heat, drought, freezing, tornadoes, hurricanes, 
floods and earthquakes, the reduction of CO2 from 355 ppm plus to 
approximately 280 ppm in the world's atmosphere (170 billion tons) is 
necessary within the next 15 years. This is the first time modern human 
society has faced this survival emergency.

3. Climate stabilisation is determined, in this era of human history, 
by the balance in activities between soil, forests, oceans, energy 
technology and energy conservation, and the recovery of wastes into new 
resources.

4. These areas of activity, which determine climate change, are in 
turn dependent on pollution control and the most basic of all, the social 
condition of people. All of the above depend on the social conditions: 
food, housing, health, education, human rights, democratic participation of 
people as a whole.

5. Without the above social conditions being met, the required 
progress on forests, agriculture, soil, conservation and energy technology 
cannot be achieved. For example, starving people with no alternative may 
tear down the last remaining forests in an area for firewood.

6. Necessary co-operative institutions need to be co-ordinated 
through the United Nations, with the CO2 Budget serving as the 
central working tool. The financial, technological, personnel and trade 
activities are the responsibility of all national governments with and 
through the United Nations.

Fossil fuels and jobs

It is becoming apparent that the world cannot survive with fossil fuels. 
They must therefore be replaced by renewable sources of energy which do not 
damage the environment. 

Technologies already exist to provide clean and reliable sources of energy 
to meet human needs and provide employment for thousands of workers.

Renewable systems include solar photo-voltaic power systems, solar hot 
water systems, wind turbines, bio-fuel plantations, hydroelectric systems 
and so on.

The price of fossil fuels and nuclear power does not reflect their full 
environmental and economic costs. Despite this, many renewable energy 
sources, such as wind power and solar thermal, are already cheaper than 
such conventional fuels and would be even cheaper if produced on a mass 
scale.

Many of these renewable energy options can be designed, built, and 
exploited locally and at less costs than conventional systems. They 
contribute significantly to national economies because they exploit 
indigenous labour and materials.

Research into and the development of renewable energy sources in Australia 
can supply enough jobs to employ workers retrenched in fossil fuel (coal 
and oil especially) and associated industries.

What is lacking is the political will to take on the powerful vested 
interests who oppose change because it will affect their profits.

What is also lacking is government willingness to centrally plan and to 
provide adequate funding for research, development, commercial production, 
and retraining and relocation of workers.

Solar energy

In rural areas, the most sophisticated solar arrays can provide sufficient 
high-quality energy, at a cost lower than power from electricity grids. 
Solar power could radically improve the living conditions of the world's 
poorest people.

The technology is spreading:

* 200,000 solar photo voltaic systems have been installed around the world, 
including 37,000 in Mexico, 20,000 in Kenya, 16,000 in Indonesia, 15,000 in 
China, 4,500 in Sri Lanka, 4,000 in the Dominican Republic and 1,000 in 
Brazil.

* In Kenya more rural households obtain their electricity from solar energy 
than from the official policy of grid extension.

* In the Dominican Republic, Enersol, a US-based non-governmental 
organisation, has successfully trained local entrepreneurs to assemble, 
market, install and service photo-voltaic systems. The program began in 
1985 with 6 systems, grew to a 100 in 1987, more than 1,000 in 1989 and 
4,500 in 1994.

* Since 1992, Enersol has replicated their successful Dominican program in 
Honduras and Guatemala and contributed to projects in Bolivia and Costa 
Rica.

* The Solar Electric Light Fund (SELF) has taken the Enersol model and has 
established a number of successful "solar seed" projects around the world.

* The European Commission's "Power for the World Program" (a global 
photo voltaic action plan) estimates that providing solar electricity to a 
billion people in the developing world would cost $60 billion ($3 billion a 
year for 20 years). This is less than 0.5 per cent of current military 
expenditure.

Campaign issues

These points are not new — but they do need to be repeated to remind us of 
what has to be done and to encourage greater awareness and activity on 
environmental matters.

* Demand that the government makes a commitment at Kyoto to stabilising 
emissions of CO2 by the year 2000 at 1990 levels, with a further 
commitment to a 20 per cent reduction in CO2 emissions by 2005, 
based on 1990 levels.

* Support public transport and campaign for the extension of public 
transport systems. Public transport is the best way to cut CO2 
emissions from cars. A car produces more than its own weight in carbon 
dioxide each year, roughly 2 tonnes per year. Effective public transport 
reduces the need for building new roads — another source of 
CO2. In turn, the money saved on road building can go into 
improving the public transport sector. These measures will also improve 
urban air-quality.

* Support the development of renewable energy technologies. Demand the 
government aims to achieve a minimum three per cent per year penetration of 
the country's energy supply system with renewable technologies.

* Campaign for the introduction of local, regional, State and Federal 
Government CO2 budgets.

* Campaign to have every enterprise in Australia develop an energy 
conservation plan involving such things as conservation of resources, 
recycling techniques and waste control.

* Pressure governments to make electricity companies reward energy saving 
consumers with lower rates, instead of offering the cheaper rates to the 
largest users of electricity.

* Demand the development and implementation of a national water 
regeneration program.

* Urge the government provide financial assistance to farmers for training 
in environmental protection and regeneration, land and water use and 
preservation, and other environmental matters.

* Support the struggles to defend the forests — since a quarter of the 
gases leading to global warming are attributable to forest destruction. 
Campaign for an embargo on logging except for immediate and essential 
domestic use.

* Be active in your workplace health and safety committee, educating 
workers in the environmental consequences of their industries and, where 
appropriate, devising and campaigning for environmentally friendly 
solutions. If possible involve the local community in health and safety 
issues which extend beyond the workplace.

* Promote a program of remineralisation of impoverished topsoils, 
desertified lands and former forest regions to be carried out before or in 
conjunction with programs to re-green Australia.

* Campaign for an annual ten per cent cut in military spending (currently 
$27 million a day) with a percentage of these funds to be allocated to help 
fund the projects listed above.

* Raise the necessity for democratic social, economic and environmental 
planning. Public ownership of industry and resources, their democratic 
control and comprehensive planned development is the basis for the 
satisfaction of the demands of workers and environmentalists and the future 
needs of humanity.


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