Indonesia:
Military clique manoeuvres to retain power
by Rob Gowland As mass pressure for democratic reforms grows in Indonesia, the Government of Prime Minister B J Habibie is attempting to prolong the dictatorial and financial powers of the military clique that flourished under the Suharto regime. Meanwhile the economy is continuing to deteriorate dramatically. A third of all electronics, machine and chemical enterprises have had to shut down, "temporarily". Mass layoffs are endemic — 20 million people have lost their jobs — and nearly 50 million are encountering difficulty in getting sufficient food as prices for basics like rice and fuel go through the roof. Daily demonstrations by students, workers and urban poor have become the norm, and the political upheaval has spread right across the country. The demonstrators' basic demands include an end to any role for the military in politics, rejection of the Suharto-era hangover the People's Consultative Assembly (a bogus "parliament") and the formation of a transitional government to organise free elections. Habibie has announced new elections in mid-1999 in an effort to quell public anger at the lack of real political change, but it is clear the ruling clique want the elections to be merely cosmetic. More than 100 political parties have sprung up since the overthrow of Suharto, but the Government is trying to prevent parties which do not have offices in at least half the districts of this vast country of 202 million from standing candidates. Students from 14 Indonesian universities have already launched a watchdog body — the University Network for Free and Fair Elections (UNFREL) — to monitor next year's elections. At the same time, various military, political and business factions both inside and outside Indonesia are jockeying and scheming to retain or obtain power in this, the world's fourth most populous country. Imperialist corporations and governments have been trying for some time to force the country to accept unrestricted access for transnational corporations. The reluctance of Suharto and his cronies to give up their economic control and resultant wealth to foreign corporations cost Suharto imperialist support last May and lost him the Presidency. Now his own party is calling for his impeachment. Nevertheless, Suharto still has immense wealth and power and the Suharto interests will be one of those currently working to divert the popular movement from its democratic goals. Rival factions within the military are also tussling for control of the regime. The military — or sections of it — are widely believed to be behind the eruption of racist and religious violence, particularly by Islamic groups, that has most recently bedevilled the popular movement. In Jakarta on November 13 there were three separate incidents of military shootings that left 15 people dead and 300 wounded. These shootings, it was claimed, were ordered by Army Chief General Wiranto. They provoked an outpouring of popular hatred against the regime. For two days, masses of people ransacked stores and wealthy homes. Protests erupted in 16 cities on virtually every major island of the archipelago. Students even took over airports in Sulawesi and Medan. The demonstrators demanded Wiranto's resignation. But it seems the shootings and the resultant arson attacks and racist rapes and looting could have been orchestrated attempts to discredit Wiranto from within the military and the Government. In an extraordinary statement to the foreign press on the shootings, Minister of Education and Culture Juwono Sudarsono said on November 20 that "there are rogue elements within the military who are interested in further discrediting the current Defence Minister General Wiranto". Juwono did not identify the "rogue elements within the military" but he said that attempts to discredit Wiranto were part of "the power struggle up in the top echelons of the Government". Wiranto himself claimed that forensic evidence showed that a bullet recovered from the body of one of the victims of the November 13 shooting was of a type not used by the Indonesian military, suggesting the involvement of provocateurs. General Wiranto denies any division within the military or the Government, but his standing has certainly suffered since November 13. At the same time, other observers suggest that Wiranto himself may be encouraging the civil strife in order to justify a military coup to "restore order". The Government mobilised 125,000 right-wing Islamic youths as a "civilian militia" to confront last month's demonstrators. They were withdrawn because of strong public opposition (four militia members were lynched). They almost certainly were the same youths who were trucked into the capital, some from as far away as West Java, on November 23 who then went on a rampage against Christians, killing 14 and burning churches. Opposition leader Abdurrahman Wahid, the chairman of the 30-million strong Nahdlatul Ulama, Indonesia's largest Muslim group, said afterwards that "unnamed parties" are exploiting religious sensitivities to stir up unrest in Indonesia but declined to name the suspects. After meeting fellow opposition leader Megawati Sukarnoputri, Wahid said they both agreed the Islamic attacks were not spontaneous but were "arranged by hoodlums who bow to one person". He did not name the person. Another opposition figure, Amien Rais, a leader of the second biggest Islamic organisation in Indonesia, is believed to have presidential ambitions. He has formed the National Mandate Party (PAN). He specifically called on members of his party not to participate in last month's student- worker demonstrations. Despite Rais, the solidarity between students, workers and the urban poor, combined with increased organisation and militancy, represents a real threat to the regime. Home Affairs Minister Syarwan Hamid has warned of "mass riots" if political parties are allowed to hold rallies during next June's elections. The Government has released plans to form a new 12,000-strong civilian militia to "quell riots" during the election period and to act as military informants. The blatant manipulation of popular unrest by means of so-called "black politics" — discrediting certain leaders, spreading rumours, diverting anger into racist or sectarian avenues, organising private militias, using agents provocateurs to incite violence or even kill to provide "victims" — whoever is behind it, it is intended to blunt or divide the popular movement for democracy and change in Indonesia. While various political figures and observers ascribe responsibility for the recent violence to different Indonesian leaders and factions, another sinister hand may also be at work in stirring up hostility between Christians and Muslims: it would certainly not dismay US imperialism if Indonesia became Asia's Bosnia-Herzegovina, to be broken up into smaller statelets as was successfully carried out on the territory of the former Yugoslavia.