Coming soon — GloboBank
by Anna Pha When cracks appeared in one of the "Four Pillars" of banking last month, the other three looked on anxiously. The NAB's estimate of its likely foreign exchange losses has already risen from $185 million to $360 million, and could even go higher. The NAB — the biggest of Australia's four major banks — is now in damage control mode, trying to unwind what it says are dealings in unauthorised foreign currency options. It appears that four NAB traders, since suspended, took out large currency options (a form of speculation or betting on future currency prices) that relied on the Australian and New Zealand dollars weakening against the US dollar. Unfortunately for them, the US dollar fell in price. Accusations are flying about whether or not management knew, how long traders had been taking such risks and whether risk management protocols have been breached. Regardless of the detail, the massive losses raise a number of serious questions about the finance sector: Transformation of banks Traditionally the source of bank income was from interest. The banks lent money at a higher interest rate than they paid on people's saving deposits. The gap between the two interest rates covered the costs of providing a service (staff, branch offices, etc) and the rest was profit. While banks still hold savings and lend money, in many instances interest is only 30-40 percent of the source of their income. A similar percentage is raised through fees, such as for services over the counter, the issuing of statements, and advisory services. Some banks are making as much as 30 percent of their income from what is best described as gambling in currencies (as did the NAB) and other products (eg derivatives on what are known as futures markets). Many banks specialise in types of services offered and have investment and other types of subsidiaries providing customers with potentially higher returns on their savings — but at a higher risk. The bank itself does not take responsibility if the savings are lost. Some manage workers' superannuation and post- retirement savings. Privatisation State and Commonwealth banks have been privatised. As a result their prime purpose has shifted from providing a service to the public (people, business and government) to one of making the largest profits possible for their private shareholders, regardless of consequences. Hence the branch closures, sackings of thousands of bank workers, attacks on bank workers' wages and conditions, and the multitude of fees as well as decline in service for many smaller customers. Privatisation brought an end to government guarantees. Lack of accountability The Australian Financial Review highlighted the problems for investors attempting to assess the levels of risk being taken by banks: "Their financial reports, while conforming to accounting standards, are virtually meaningless to outsiders." (Chanticleer, 21-01-04) Monopolisation Banks co-operate with each other where necessary to defend their common interests (eg lobbying politicians for deregulation). There is also fierce competition which results in takeovers, mergers, crashes and financial crises. This process has been facilitated by deregulation and privatisation. In Australia, the "Four Pillars" (NAB, Westpac, ANZ and the Commonwealth) with St George dominate the industry. Up to now Australian governments have, in the name of competition policy, resisted pressure to remove all restrictions on foreign ownership, mergers and takeovers involving these banks. It is only a matter of time before the government adjusts its thinking in terms of the above banks — from competition between Australian banks to counting competition between transnational banks operating in Australia. Monopolisation is taking place globally, with the biggest getting bigger every day, squeezing out more and more smaller banks. Citigroup, the world's largest bank, made $6.2 billion in profits in the final quarter of 2003. It is prowling the globe, loaded with cash, in search of take-over targets. JP Morgan Chase and Bank One are about to merge to form a US based bank with US$1.1 trillion in assets. They have announced a wage freeze and a minimum of 10,000 job losses. This follows on from Bank of America's takeover of FleetBoston Financial last October. According to The Wall Street Journal, Citigroup, Bank of America and JP Morgan account for 81 percent of loans arranged for investment-grade companies in the US. Power of banks The struggle taking place between banks (and also other financial institutions — particularly insurance monopolies) is for absolute power and global dominance. It is about control over hundreds of billions of dollars. These banks (and the big insurance companies) exert considerable control over other businesses — through loans, positions on corporate boards, the advice they give, manipulating money markets, trading on stockmarkets, and so on. These financial institutions are the most powerful centres of capital. It is not clear how the NAB saga will unfold or if any other banks are in a similar position. If the NAB's position deteriorates, this might give the Government the excuse it wants to take the next deregulatory step and allow Citigroup or one of the other GloboBanks to "bail it out", i.e. begin the process of foreign takeovers.